U.At present – Skilled dealer Peter Brandt has recognized a key characteristic of the present market cycle that distinguishes it from earlier ones. Based mostly on the info and charts that Brandt examined, it seems that the present Bitcoin bull market cycle would be the longest post-halving interval within the historical past of the cryptocurrency with no new all-time excessive.
This discovering begs important queries relating to the scenario on the Bitcoin market proper now and the probability of a brand new ATH occurring quickly. In response to the obtainable information, new cycle highs had been reached comparatively rapidly following the Bitcoin halving occasions within the years 2012, 2016 and 2020.
For instance, after halving, it took simply eight weeks for Bitcoin to succeed in a brand new excessive within the 2011-2013 cycle. Just like this, the halving of the 2015-2017 cycle resulted in a brand new excessive 24 weeks later, and the ATH for the 2018-2021 cycle took 25 weeks to succeed in.
Since Bitcoin has not reached a brand new excessive within the present 2022-2025 cycle — which is already 23 weeks after the halving — it’s turning into increasingly more possible that this cycle will break earlier information for the longest time period with no new ATH.
Because it makes an attempt to interrupt out of the broad descending channel, it’s at present buying and selling inside resistance discovered across the $62,000 mark. In response to the info, Bitcoin’s worth has to clear a serious impediment at $73,804 as a way to set a brand new all-time excessive. It’s unclear whether or not Bitcoin will attain a brand new excessive on this cycle, although the market seems to be stagnating and resistance ranges are arduous to beat with out correct shopping for assist.
In response to Peter Brandt’s evaluation, the conduct of the Bitcoin market proper now could also be distinct, presumably indicating {that a} new ATH is unlikely for this cycle. This is able to be a serious divergence from earlier cycles, by which Bitcoin has virtually all the time risen to new heights following a halving occasion.
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