Polymarket vs BET: How crypto prediction markets differ in dealing with betting outcomes

Polymarket and BET are two crypto prediction markets gaining vital consideration. Every leverages blockchain expertise to supply distinctive options and person experiences. Polymarket has accrued over $750 million in bets on the US election this 12 months, whereas the newcomer BET has acquired round $22 million since its launch this month.

How do Polymarket and BET work?

Polymarket operates on the Ethereum blockchain and makes use of Polygon as a Layer-2 scaling answer to boost scalability and cut back transaction prices. This setup permits Polymarket to effectively deal with a excessive quantity of trades with out congesting the Ethereum community or incurring excessive fuel charges.

The platform options principally binary end result markets, the place customers can wager on “Sure” or “No” outcomes for numerous occasions by means of a steady double public sale mannequin. Alternatively, markets may be made for a number of outcomes, resembling betting on which phrases shall be used throughout a political speech. This mannequin ensures dynamic worth discovery, with costs representing the likelihood of an occasion occurring.

Notably, Polymarket doesn’t require customers to carry a local platform token, and it helps self-custodial wallets, enhancing person safety and management over funds. The platform additionally incentivizes liquidity and participation by means of numerous reward mechanisms, together with liquidity supplier rewards and market-specific incentives.

Alternatively, BET is a Solana-based prediction market platform launched by Drift Protocol. It capitalizes on Solana’s excessive transaction throughput and low charges, making it a pretty selection for decentralized purposes. BET permits customers to interact in event-based predictions by buying YES or NO shares on the outcomes of real-world occasions. The platform additionally provides structured bets, permitting customers to implement advanced buying and selling methods.

Differentiating asset collateral and betting mechanisms

Polymarket’s public sale system permits for dynamic worth discovery by representing the likelihood of an occasion occurring. For instance, if “Sure” shares for an occasion are buying and selling at $0.72, it signifies a 72% likelihood of that end result. Customers can commerce their positions anytime earlier than market decision, enhancing flexibility and liquidity. Polymarket requires customers to deposit USDC into their wallets, and the platform doesn’t necessitate holding a local token, simplifying the person expertise.

In distinction, BET helps over 30 cryptocurrencies as collateral, together with USDC and SOL, offering customers with vital flexibility. BET additionally integrates yield technology by means of Drift’s borrow/lend platform, enabling customers to earn curiosity on their collateral whereas ready for occasion outcomes. This function, mixed with structured bets that permit customers to implement advanced buying and selling methods, units BET aside within the prediction market panorama.

Polymarket focuses on simplicity and person accessibility by using USDC as its main forex, eliminating the necessity for a local token. This strategy reduces obstacles to entry and enhances person safety by means of self-custodial wallets. Polymarket incentivizes liquidity and participation with numerous reward mechanisms, together with liquidity supplier rewards and market-specific incentives, fostering a wholesome buying and selling setting.

Conversely, BET provides a extra advanced monetary ecosystem with a number of collateral choices and yield-generation capabilities. The platform’s FUEL rewards program additional incentivizes person engagement by distributing tokens based mostly on buying and selling quantity, which may be redeemed throughout the Drift and Solana ecosystem. BET’s monetary construction and excessive transaction throughput on Solana present a quick and environment friendly buying and selling expertise, interesting to customers in search of flexibility and extra monetary incentives.

Polymarket and BET cater to totally different person wants. Polymarket emphasizes simplicity and decentralized decision, whereas BET provides flexibility and yield alternatives by means of its numerous collateral choices and integration with Drift’s platform.

Decision instruments for prediction markets

Polymarket and BET make use of distinct decision mechanisms to find out the outcomes of their prediction markets, reflecting their differing approaches to decentralization and governance.

Polymarket makes use of UMA’s Optimistic Oracle, a decentralized and trustless system, to resolve market outcomes. This mechanism integrates real-world knowledge into sensible contracts, which is crucial for figuring out the outcomes of assorted wagers. When a market is created, a decision request is robotically despatched to the Optimistic Oracle.

Proposers throughout the UMA system submit solutions to this request backed by a bond. If the proposed reply is uncontested, it’s accepted after a problem interval, sometimes two hours. In case of disputes, the system resets the query and points a brand new request to make sure trivial disagreements don’t impede decision. Persistent disputes escalate to UMA’s Information Verification Mechanism (DVM), the place UMA token holders vote on the right end result, normally resolving inside 48 to 72 hours. This course of illustrates Polymarket’s dedication to a community-driven and clear decision system.

BET resolves its markets by means of a structured course of managed by a safety council and an elected multisig below realms governance. On the designated decision time, the safety council updates the oracle with a binary end result (0 or 1), representing the occasion’s consequence. Following this replace, an expiry date is ready for the market, after which it enters a “cut back solely” mode, stopping new positions from being opened or present ones from being elevated.

The market is settled based mostly on the oracle’s end result, and customers can then settle their positions on the decided settlement worth. In a shortfall, the place the market lacks ample funds to cowl all positions, the shortfall is socialized into the settlement worth, probably decreasing the payout even when the decision was set to 1. This structured strategy ensures equity and transparency, with mechanisms to deal with potential monetary shortfalls.

Thus, Polymarket emphasizes decentralization and neighborhood involvement by means of UMA’s oracle, whereas BET focuses on structured governance and safety council oversight to make sure correct and honest market outcomes.

Person incentives and reward techniques

Polymarket incentivizes person engagement by means of numerous reward mechanisms designed to boost liquidity and participation. One among its main incentives is the liquidity supplier rewards program, which inspires customers to position resting restrict orders close to the market midpoint. This program goals to create a balanced and liquid market by rewarding customers weekly for sustaining wholesome market situations.

Polymarket often runs public competitions based mostly on revenue and loss or buying and selling quantity to additional stimulate person exercise. These incentives, mixed with the platform’s use of USDC and self-custodial wallets, make Polymarket a pretty choice for customers in search of a simple and safe buying and selling expertise.

BET provides a special set of incentives by means of its FUEL rewards program. This program rewards customers with FUEL tokens based mostly on their buying and selling quantity, which may be redeemed throughout the Drift and Solana ecosystem for numerous advantages. BET additionally offers yield-generation alternatives, permitting customers to earn curiosity on their collateral whereas ready for occasion outcomes. This function and the platform’s help for over 30 cryptocurrencies as collateral supply customers vital flexibility and potential monetary advantages. BET’s structured bets function additional enhances its enchantment by enabling customers to implement advanced buying and selling methods, resembling taking lengthy positions on prediction markets whereas shorting Bitcoin.

Abstract of Polymarket vs BET

Polymarket leverages Polygon to boost scalability and cut back transaction prices. This setup permits the platform to deal with a excessive quantity of trades with out congesting the Ethereum community or incurring prohibitive fuel charges. Polymarket makes use of UMA’s Optimistic Oracle for market decision with a dedication to decentralization and community-driven governance. This oracle system ensures honest and clear market outcomes by integrating real-world knowledge into sensible contracts and permitting for neighborhood voting in case of disputes.

BET capitalizes on Solana’s excessive throughput and low charges, making it a quick and environment friendly platform for decentralized purposes. Its decision course of includes a safety council, an elected multisig below realms governance, which updates the oracle with the occasion’s end result. This structured strategy ensures correct and honest market resolutions, with mechanisms in place to deal with potential monetary shortfalls.

Each platforms supply numerous market alternatives, with Polymarket supporting numerous matters, together with politics, sports activities, and leisure. BET initially focuses on political occasions however plans to increase into sports activities and cultural occasions, broadening its market attain. These variations spotlight the platforms’ distinctive strengths: Polymarket emphasizes simplicity, safety, and decentralized decision, whereas BET provides flexibility, yield alternatives, and a structured governance mannequin. Customers can select between these platforms based mostly on their preferences for market range, monetary incentives, and technical infrastructure.

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