The US CPI information is the principle financial occasion of the buying and selling week. Inflation has been the principle driver of financial coverage for greater than a yr now; thus, each market participant is on standby till the information comes out.
Crypto merchants loved a pleasant rebound of the whole market at first of 2023. Bitcoin, for instance, rallied near $24k, the place it met resistance.
Bitcoin’s adoption by many institutional traders made it smart to US financial information. In different phrases, the US greenback’s volatility strikes Bitcoin too. Subsequently, right this moment’s inflation information is a key driver not just for the fiat currencies but in addition for the cryptocurrency market due to Bitcoin’s affect on the general crypto market.
BTCUSD chart by TradingView
Head and shoulders sample factors to a drop beneath $19k
Crypto fans cheered the robust begin to the buying and selling yr as Bitcoin rallied aggressively. However in doing so, Bitcoin solely adopted the general US greenback’s weak point seen throughout the FX dashboard.
If the US CPI report for January reveals renewed inflationary pressures, the US greenback ought to surge throughout the dashboard.
On such a launch, the market can buy the greenback in anticipation of additional tightening from the Fed. Therefore, the greenback ought to stress Bitcoin.
From a technical perspective, there’s one head and shoulders sample that ought to maintain bulls at bay. The market at present consolidates above the neckline, and if the greenback will get stronger after the CPI report, then the sample’s measured transfer factors to a drop beneath $19k.
The market mustn’t climb above the very best level within the earlier head and shoulders sample for the sample to work. Extra exactly, it ought to stay beneath $23,500 for the bearish sample to stay legitimate.