Talking at Token2049 in Singapore, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes painted a sobering image of the potential aftermath of the Fed’s first charge discount in 4 years.
Gm Singapore, It’s Fucking Fed Day!
My #Token2049singapore keynote is about which #crypto trades make sense in a falling rate of interest surroundings.
See y’all horny bitches at MBS, 12:15pm.
Yachtzee 😘😘😘😘😘😘
— Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) September 17, 2024
Hayes’ perspective challenges the prevailing optimism, suggesting that what many see as a catalyst for development might as a substitute set off a market downturn. Hayes’ keynote, titled “Ideas on Macroeconomics Present Occasions,” delved into the complicated interaction between conventional finance and the crypto markets.
The entrepreneur’s evaluation targeted on the comparative attraction of 5% Treasury payments versus cryptocurrency investments. He framed the dialogue in opposition to the backdrop of anticipated market shifts following the Fed’s resolution.
The Fed’s “Colossal Mistake” and Crypto Market Implications
In a daring assertion, Hayes characterised the Federal Reserve’s consideration of charge cuts amidst elevated authorities spending and greenback issuance as a “colossal mistake.”
He predicted a market collapse within the days following a possible charge lower, opposite to the widespread expectation of a market surge.
Hayes attributes this potential downturn to the narrowing rate of interest differential between the U.S. greenback and the Japanese yen.
Hayes’ evaluation extends to particular cryptocurrencies, evaluating their yields to these of Treasury Payments. He highlighted Ethereum’s underwhelming efficiency relative to Bitcoin, describing it as an “web bond” with a 4% yield.
Nonetheless, Hayes stays invested in ETH, anticipating {that a} speedy yield drop might revitalize its standing as “cash.” The entrepreneur additionally mentioned different tokens like Ethena (ENA), Pendle (PENDLE), and Ondo (ONDO).
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