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CryptoQuant believes the US authorities promoting $6.5 billion in Bitcoin confiscated from Silk Highway wouldn’t have an adversarial impression in the marketplace if bought by way of over-the-counter (OTC) desks, based on a Jan. 9 report.
The Bitcoin (BTC) stash is at the moment value roughly $6.5 billion, and lots of have raised considerations about its potential sale and the consequences it might have on the broader market.
Silk Highway Bitcoin sale
The US Division of Justice (DOJ) was cleared to promote the BTC on Jan. 8. Regardless of market hypothesis, the Silk Highway Bitcoin stash stays dormant, with no motion recorded.
Bitcoin’s 15% fall from its all-time excessive of $108,000 to $92,099.54 as of press time is among the worst drawdowns previously three months and was primarily pushed by short-term holders promoting amid panic.
Up to now 24 hours alone, roughly 36,400 BTC have been transferred from short-term holders to exchanges, with the Spent Output Revenue Ratio (SOPR) falling beneath 1. The motion signifies that, on common, these cash have been moved at a loss, which has contributed considerably to the market’s downward stress.
Because of this, CryptoQuant’s evaluation identified that the potential promoting stress from the Silk Highway stash is negligible in the long run. The agency famous that over the previous yr, Bitcoin’s realized market cap has elevated by $381.7 billion, dwarfing the $6.5 billion the Silk Highway stash represents.
Technique of sale
Though promoting the Silk Highway stash by OTC desks would preserve the market integrity within the quick time period, the agency acknowledged that dumping the $6.5 billion value of BTC on the spot market might trigger extreme value corrections.
CryptoQuant’s evaluation cited the German authorities’s sale of fifty,000 BTC in July 2024, which had a noticeable impression on Bitcoin’s value. It added that within the present state of affairs, short-term destructive volatility will depend on how the DOJ sells the BTC.
Even when the DOJ decides to promote the substantial Bitcoin stash utilizing crypto exchanges, numerous on-chain metrics stay strong. CryptoQuant CEO Ki Younger Ju famous on Jan. 7 that BTC’s obvious demand stays very excessive.
Obvious demand is the distinction between Bitcoin manufacturing by mining and modifications in stock, which refers back to the provide being inactive for over a yr.
Moreover, he highlighted that Bitcoin will stay on an upward trajectory so long as capital flows into the market, indicating that BTC’s realized cap is at the moment at its highest ranges.